Sapcrest 长势依然保持
MACD RSI依然向上
成交量保温
MA 10 30 50 继续旷大
Suncity WA RM1.29 (closing 14/6/11) 收购价RM1.29
看来市场在最后一分钟才开始反映利好消息呢。 期待15/6 投票到来 ^_^
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Monday, June 13, 2011
Sunway Suncity 和拼消息更新 & 2011 下半年行情预测 @ 13 June 2011
2011 下半年行情预测 @ 13 June 2011
目前来说汇市股票债卷对处于一个分水岭， 由于上半年的天灾人祸， 今年的行情并不算太好。 美国的经济情况糟糕 已经到一个极限的程度 ， QE 2 将在6月尾结束， 而FEDS 背负了太多的政治压力 不得不放缓印钞票的举动 ， 将会对全球，东南亚以及我国的局势带来毁灭性的打击。
但是，个人预测， 这只是短期而言， 因为美国不会停止救市，要不然下一届的president 又要换人了， 所以说 OBAMA叔叔一定会采取行动 不惜代价都要pump 起这个market, 至少在他下位以前。 可以预见的是7-8月将会有一个大调整， 满舱位的朋友要小心了。 马来西亚的政府如果真的要明年大选的话，预计会加大力度出场干预， 更多的工程，导致马股的未来展望不算太坏，分析师们近来的看好 证实了这点。 也许这也是一个机会， 一个时机 让我们收集一些的好蓝筹股也不一定。
Standard Charted Market Review :
Economic numbers have been coming in below expectations
consistently lately. Some now fear that the US may
potentially double-dip, and China may face stagflation. This
growing fear of a global slowdown, coupled with the
lingering uncertainties over Greece and the European debt
crisis, is fostering broad risk aversion.
Bernanke’s downbeat assessment of the US economy
reinforces this state of edginess. The scheduled ending of
QE2 at the end of this month could only add to the summer
blues.
EQUITIES
The present “soft patch” in the global economic
recovery continues to support our neutral stance on
equities
COMMODITIES
Cautious on base metals and silver
Broadly neutral on oil 1
Buy gold on pull backs to USD1480 - 1500
BONDS
We remain underweight bonds on the basis that the
global economy is facing a temporary “soft patch”
before picking up in H2-11.
*Percentage change from June 3 to June 9
Source: Bloomberg, Standard Chartered Research
FX
Risk aversion triggers retracement on EUR and AUD.
Overall, investors should overweight AXJ against the
USD and JPY, focusing on currencies with proactive
monetary and exchange rate policies, such as the CNY,
TWD, KRW, SGD and IDR.
Sunway Suncity 和拼消息更新
SUNWAY (FV RM3.27– TRADING BUY)
Company Update: Further Upside via Merged Entity
Though the implied merger price of RM2.60 has created a cap on Sunway’s stock price,
we argue that Sunway is worth more than that due to the potential upside from Newco.
The Newco upon listing, would trade at a P/BV of 1.39x compared to its peers at 2.62x.
Based on a 30% discount to its peers, Newco would be worth RM3.70, implying a
RM3.27 FV for Sunway given the share swap ratio. We advise shareholders to vote in
favour of the proposed merger this Wednesday. With a 28% upside to our FV, we
upgrade Sunway to TRADING BUY. (OSK188来源)
股东大会将在15号6月 召开， 届时将会投票决定，和拼的结果， 股票回购以及相关事宜. 预期不会有太大的偏差顺利通过。
以目前的价格 Suncity RM5.05 , Suncity-WA RM1.22 来计算 估计可以得到12.5% Profit. 一切费用除外。如果新股上市达到RM3.00-3.20的合理价位， 收获将会更丰富。
Friday, June 10, 2011
Coastal Contract - 股市中的钻石(未打磨ver) ？
Coastal Contract - 股市中的钻石(未打磨ver) ？
这几天都在寻找我下一个股票来长期投资， 让我找到了一个未来的明星股 ， 良好的财务，稳健的公司管理， 光明的油气行业，让我眼前一亮。
P/E Ratio : 6.1x
P/B Ratio : 2x
ROE : 37.55%
ROA : 12.55%
ROC : 20.31%
EPS FY10 : 0.55sen / share (02/23/2011)
Gross Margin : 32.39%
Diluted EPS Before Extra : 20.20%
EBITDA : 18.74%
2007 2008 2009 2010
Year over year, Coastal Contracts Bhd has been able to grow revenues from 466.1M to 675.1M. Most impressively, the company has been able to reduce the percentage of sales devoted to selling, general and administrative costs from 1.95% to 1.31%. This was a driver that led to a bottom line growth from 162.5M to 200.8M.
This company's debt to total capital ratio, at 7.81%, is in-line with the Machinery industry's norm. Additionally, even though there are not enough liquid assets to satisfy current obligations, Operating Profits are more than adequate to service the debt. Accounts Receivable are among the industry's worst with 28.94 days worth of sales outstanding. This implies that revenues are not being collected in an efficient manner. Last, Coastal Contracts Bhd is among the most efficient in its industry at managing inventories, with only 618.18 days of its Cost of Goods Sold tied up in inventory.
这几天都在寻找我下一个股票来长期投资， 让我找到了一个未来的明星股 ， 良好的财务，稳健的公司管理， 光明的油气行业，让我眼前一亮。
P/E Ratio : 6.1x
P/B Ratio : 2x
ROE : 37.55%
ROA : 12.55%
ROC : 20.31%
EPS FY10 : 0.55sen / share (02/23/2011)
Gross Margin : 32.39%
Diluted EPS Before Extra : 20.20%
EBITDA : 18.74%
2007 2008 2009 2010
| NET INCOME | 69.3 | 96.8 | 162.5 | 200.8 | |
| TOTAL REVENUES | 291.8 | 348.1 | 466.1 | 675.1 | |
| OPERATING INCOME | 71.5 | 98.1 | 157.2 | 198.0 | |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 546.4 | 862.3 | 1,143.5 | 1,092.9 | |
| TOTAL LIABILITIES | 331.8 | 554.4 | 685.0 | 490.3 | |
Year over year, Coastal Contracts Bhd has been able to grow revenues from 466.1M to 675.1M. Most impressively, the company has been able to reduce the percentage of sales devoted to selling, general and administrative costs from 1.95% to 1.31%. This was a driver that led to a bottom line growth from 162.5M to 200.8M.
This company's debt to total capital ratio, at 7.81%, is in-line with the Machinery industry's norm. Additionally, even though there are not enough liquid assets to satisfy current obligations, Operating Profits are more than adequate to service the debt. Accounts Receivable are among the industry's worst with 28.94 days worth of sales outstanding. This implies that revenues are not being collected in an efficient manner. Last, Coastal Contracts Bhd is among the most efficient in its industry at managing inventories, with only 618.18 days of its Cost of Goods Sold tied up in inventory.
Annjoo - 技术反弹？ @ 10 June 2011
分析 :
自从4月高点RM3.05 开始向下跌落以后 目前处于RM2.60-2.80阶段 调整了15%左右
近来成交量增加 有望技术反弹 ， 技术指标有回勾现象 现成突破点在RM2.90 支持点 RM2.62
股价突破10天 20天 均线， 试探超越30天
Thursday, June 9, 2011
Sapcrest - 创新高 / Coastal - 上升三角形 MACD 背离 @ 9 June 2011
根据目前走势，短期情况良好，指标持续往上，10/20/30/50 MA 上升趋势， 股价保持Bollinger Band 顶端而且旷大Bandwidth. RSI >70, MACD 交叉后继续攀升， 以这几天报章的持续唱好消息恒温 持续创新高价.
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Coastal 5071
分析 :
走势逞上升三角型态 成较量持续减少
以突破rm3.80 为买进讯号
MACD 股价 背离 有转下跌趋势的风险
近期高点 RM3.78 支持点 RM3.60
Wednesday, June 8, 2011
近期关注股票走势更新 8 June 2011
UOADEV 5200 8/6/11 上市
Surprisingly, or not, UOA 开始就开始小跌 ， 也许人们对IPO的期望已经达到恐惧的程度？
一开始它的发售价我个人觉得就偏高， 虽然2亿8千万的净利很吸引，未来加息以及产业股板块的前途因素让我犹豫. 继续观察接下来走势。。。
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WCT : 还在横摆走势当中 ， 超过3.12开始注意买进 ， 目前技术指标开始向上
PCHEM : 尝试突破7.25 bollinger band失, 目前受到20天均线支持 指标回调
GENSP : 走势依然偏弱， 曾经下探1.93 但迅速回弹1.98以上, 技术指标偏弱 有技术反弹迹象
SAPCRES : 近期油气业收到看好正面走势 未来可期待更多工程入获
AIRASIA : bollinger 收窄 指标回转， 有反弹迹象，7/6/11 冲回3.05收盘
Surprisingly, or not, UOA 开始就开始小跌 ， 也许人们对IPO的期望已经达到恐惧的程度？
一开始它的发售价我个人觉得就偏高， 虽然2亿8千万的净利很吸引，未来加息以及产业股板块的前途因素让我犹豫. 继续观察接下来走势。。。
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WCT : 还在横摆走势当中 ， 超过3.12开始注意买进 ， 目前技术指标开始向上
PCHEM : 尝试突破7.25 bollinger band失, 目前受到20天均线支持 指标回调
GENSP : 走势依然偏弱， 曾经下探1.93 但迅速回弹1.98以上, 技术指标偏弱 有技术反弹迹象
SAPCRES : 近期油气业收到看好正面走势 未来可期待更多工程入获
AIRASIA : bollinger 收窄 指标回转， 有反弹迹象，7/6/11 冲回3.05收盘
Monday, June 6, 2011
JIM ROGERS 投机大师怎么看亚洲未来趋势
请花点时间看一看 JIM ROGERS 投机大师怎么看亚洲未来趋势 可以学到不少东西 绝对值的看！可以看到世界级大师们的想法 纯粹的精华 了解他们的思考方式 对我们投资会有帮助
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