Thursday, June 2, 2011

Sapcrest - 突破阻力点 @ 2 June 2011)



分析 : 
Sapcrest 宣布购买50% Labuan Shipyard and Engineering Sdn Bhd (LSE) , 一家著名东南亚里面设备齐全的船厂, 进军船坞业务. LSE据传将得到 PETRONAS fabrication license , 如属实将对sapcrest未来业务带来正面效益。 除此之外, SAPCREST还没有正式发布通知将要买进2艘新船 pipe lay barges. 


目前21倍 PE , P/B ratio 4.5倍  --  我觉得有点高 ,但是前景不错 



收购的价格目前还没有透露。 以目前8.6Billion 的订单,Target Price 将设定在 RM4.20 (18x PE, EPS (23.4 sen) )
如果可以保持成价格3.95新高以上以及高交量,将会突破Rm4.00, 止损点 RM3.75近期低点
前提是, 有成交量支撑 不然就是假突破。

目前sapcres-cb 价钱0.48 trading at discount  2.7%  9月2011到期

Key financial data 
FYE 31                Jan FY11   FY12F    FY13F   FY14F
Adj EPS (sen)           18.1       23.9      27.2      31.9 
Adj P/E (x)                21.7       16.5      14.5     12.3 
Net DPS (sen)            8.5         9.5       10.9     15.9 
Div yield (%)               2.2         2.4        2.8      4.1 
BVPS (RM)                0.87       1.02      1.19    1.35 
P/B (x)                       4.5         3.8        3.3      2.9 



Fiscal Year1/31/20081/31/20091/31/2010
ISO CurrencyMYR ('000)MYR ('000)MYR ('000)
Report TypeCCC
INCOME STATEMENT
Net Turnover/Net Sales2,261,9053,451,7023,257,043
EBITDA325,241458,437477,037
EBIT232,688332,647434,585
Net Profit78,264115,774172,035
Ordinary Dividend0-23,770-38,302
BALANCE SHEET
Intangibles145,994149,515149,314
Fixed Assets876,294903,559900,456
Long Term Investments154,279105,508192,107
Stocks/Inventories57,37350,02354,276
Cash354,209593,538875,251
Current Liabilities1,383,3581,744,9051,473,121
Long Term Debt268,954207,348158,135
Provisions000
Minorities272,165401,197397,103
Total Shareholders Equity796,473922,3901,063,217
KEY RATIOS
Operating Margin11.019.8312.56
Return on Equity Capital12.6913.4717.33
Net Profit Margin3.463.355.28
Current Ratio1.31.351.42
Debt to Capital at Book0.350.260.21

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